Gracenote's Virtual Medal Table (VMT) forecasts medal counts for the 2024 Olympics based on post-2021 Summer Games data. Updated monthly until the Paris Games, it projects gold, silver, and bronze medals for countries and athletes.

The predictions are based on results from major competitions since the Tokyo 2020 Games. Athletes from Russia and Belarus have been largely excluded from competition since February 2022 and, with limited participation also expected in Paris, Gracenote says, "we expect the medal table to be the usual accurate reflection."

The United States is the country Gracenote’s VMT forecast projects to win the most medals overall at Paris 2024 with 123. China is set to duel with the United States for most gold medals, projecting 89 total medals, on a par with Tokyo 2020.

As the host nation, France is expected to significantly boost its medal count. Projected to claim third place, France's forecast of 28 golds would nearly match its total medal haul of 33 from Tokyo.

The Netherlands will improve from 10 golds in Tokyo to 18 in Paris, according to Gracenote's VMT, moving them up from seventh place to fourth. Their medal tally is expected to increase by two to 38.

It is anticipated that Great Britain, fourth in the Tokyo medal table, will slip one spot. Despite a prediction of two more medals than its 64 at the last Games, only 13 golds are forecast compared to 22 in the Japanese capital.

Australia and Japan, who were third in Tokyo, are vying for sixth place with both nations expected to win 13 golds. With 50 predicted medals to Japan's 49, Australia occupy sixth at present. Next comes Italy with 12 victories and 47 total medals. Closing out the top 10 are Germany - nine golds out of 36 medals - and South Korea with nine golds from 24 medals.